Thinking Naturally about Uncertainty
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Thinking Naturally about Uncertainty
Methods for handling uncertainty should be evaluated in terms of their cognitive compatibility with real-world decision makers. Bayesian models of uncertainty demand precise up-front assessments of all problem elements and discourage the dynamic evolution of problem understanding. They handle missing or conflicting data by mathematical aggregation, while realworld decision makers regard gaps in...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting
سال: 1996
ISSN: 2169-5067,1071-1813
DOI: 10.1177/154193129604000408